New SL concurrency graphs show day and hour from May 2012 to May 2013

Tyche Shepherd has just posted some new graphs recently on SLUniverse Forums on the SL concurrency by day and hour from 3rd May 2012 to 2nd May 2013 which is very interesting. Tyche Shepherd reports that Saturdays and Sundays have a much higher SL concurrency level than it is between Mondays to Fridays which is understandable I think as it’s the weekend. The busiest hours is between 1pm to 2pm SLT which is surprising I think because I thought more would log in during the evening hours.

Based on past 12 months to yesterday Saturdays and Sundays have higher concurrency then the rest of the week (this is significant at the 95% confidence level)

13:00 and 14:00 SLT (1 – 2 pm) are the busiest hours – again this is a statistically significant finding at the 95 confidence level

These charts illustrate the mean concurrency over day of week and hour of day. This analysis is based on sampling SL concurrency at 5 minute intervals over the past year.

Great work Tyche and I’m sure many are happy to see new graphs. Very interesting overall and I really do find metrics interesting in Second Life/OpenSim. All graphs below are created by Tyche Shepherd which were uploaded to the SL Forums and SLUniverse Forums.

• Click graphs for larger views! 

Second Life mean concurrency by day of week 3rd May 2012 – 2nd May 2013

Second Life mean concurrency by hour of day 3rd May 2012 – 2nd May 2013

Time of day within day of week

No major differences between days but on Fridays and Saturdays the 13:00 to 14:00 peak continues into 15:00 , and as expected the 2 hours spanning 23:00 Saturday to 00:00 Sunday tend to be busier than the same time on other days

I think it would be awesome to see the graphs in a year from now to compare the SL concurrency levels from May 2013 to May 2014. Again great work Tyche for providing these new updated graphs.

InWorldz hits 75, 000 total users milestone

Today InWorldz reached another big milestone of 75, 000 total users according to the InWorldz Login Screen. This is another step closer to the big 100, 000 total users mark (expected in 2014 or 2015?). There’s around 350 new residents joining InWorldz each week apparently and that number is expected to rise quicker when physics is fully in place soon. InWorldz is still growing and breaking new records on a regular basis.

New milestone reached of 75, 000+ total users

InWorldz Historical numbers so far

• “The first 1, 000 took almost a year.. the second 1, 000 just a bit over a month..”
• 2, 000 members – 14th May 2010
• 5, 000 members – 20th June 2010
• 10, 000 members – 12th August 2010
• 20, 000 members – 21st October 2010
• 25, 000 members – 12th December 2010
• 30, 000 members – 1st February 2011
• 40, 000 members – 15th July 2011
• 50, 000 members – 15th January 2012
• 55, 000 – 20th April 2012
• 60, 000 members – 18th July 2012
• 70, 000 members – 25th January 2013
• 75, 000 members – 3rd May 2013

Future Predictions…

• 80, 000 members – July/August 2013
• 90, 000 members – January 2014
• 100, 000 members – Mid 2014

NEW: It’s worth looking at Constanza’s blog where you can find new weekly posts on the InWorldz metrics. Graphs, latest region/users stats and much more!

InWorldz Links

• InWorldz Website
• InWorldz Forums
• InWorldz Twitter (latest #InWorldz tweets)
• InWorldz Facebook

Official Second Life Facebook page hits 300, 000 likes/fans

According to PageData, on 13th April 2013 the official Second Life Facebook page reached another big milestone of 300, 034 likes/fans which is incredible I think. It seems there’s between 700 to 800 new likes/fans every week. The official Second Life Facebook page was created on 23rd April 2009 and reached 100, 000 during late 2010. Stay connected with the latest updates from Linden Lab on the official Second Life Facebook page today!

Facebook for the SL community is at number one for social networking for SL updates and discussions. There’s huge interest on the Facebook page for SL and still the page continues to grow in terms of new likes/fans per week. In comparison Second Life has a presence on other popular social networks:

• The official Google+ Second Life page has +4,435 friends/followers. 
• The official Twitter Second Life page has 34, 571 followers
• The official Flickr Second Life group has 15, 862 members
• The official Plurk Second Life page has 494 friends/341 fans

Second Life Facebook page stats 

• 111, 000 – February 2011
• 140, 434 – May 2011
• 200, 000 – 6th November 2011
• 250, 000 – 21st April 2012
• 290, 361 – 26th January 2013
• 300, 034 – 13th April 2013

Total Likes since 18th March 2013

SL Likes page stats

 

Second Life statistics 2013 spring update

Since my last winter update back in early December 2012 I can share the user concurrency stats for the first 3 months of 2013 which seems to be still very flat and still it’s slow declining. Data below is from the resident run SL Grid Survey and Dwell On It stats page.

Here is the Second Life statistics 2013 spring update 2013.

Total Regions

Total main grids have been dropping since early December 2012 which is still cause for concern I think. Since the start of 2013 the net number of private regions lost now stands at 510 (2.4% in 13 weeks) according to Tyche Shepherd. Apparently the last time the grid saw growth in private estates was back on 24th June 2012.

Late last month the grid saw some small growth in private regions which is positive but i’m wondering if that trend will continue for the rest of 2013 or not. There needs to be growth in private regions and main grid regions this year. That’s what everyone is hoping for but it needs changes from Linden Lab to start the recovery again.

Region counts on 5th December 2012

• Total Main Grid regions: 28, 290 
• Total Area (km²): 1854.01
• Private Estates: 21, 200 
• Linden Owned: 7, 090

Region counts on 2nd April 2013

• Total Main Grid regions: 27, 570
• Total Area (km²): 1806.83
• Private Estates: 20, 482
• Linden owned:  7, 088

Main grid total regions still continues to drop

Main grid private estate regions still continues to drop

During 2013 or early next year in 2014 it’s predicted OpenSim total regions will overtake Second Life total main grid regions. We will have to watch the trends in the coming months.

SL daily concurrency levels

• Maximum Daily Concurrency seems to be reaching 57, 000 to 61, 000 at peak times during the last 3 months.
  
• Minimum Daily Concurrency seems to have dropped abit down to 28, 000 to 31, 000 during low peak hours during the last 3 months
• Median Daily Concurrency seems to be around 45, 000 to 49, 000 during the last 3 months

SL signups 

Total signups (residents) now stands at 33,326,134 for Second Life and as many know there is far less than that inworld at any one time. Since December 2012 the daily Second Life sign ups are around 12, 000 – 16, 000 per day.

My next post will be posted in July 2013 for the summer update on the SL economy.

Small growth in private estates in Second Life 2013

Tyche Shepherd has just published this week’s data on the new SL sims in past week SLU forum post and finally after 40 weeks there is “positive growth” in private estates in Second Life. It only increased by 13 regions this week which is better than the other way round I guess in a drop. Apparently the last time the grid saw growth in private estates was back on 24th June 2012. This is good news at last and hopefully the growth trend will continue in private estates for in 2013. There needs to be growth in private regions and main grid regions this year.

Since the start of 2013 the net number of private regions lost now stands at 510 (2.4% in 13 weeks) according to Tyche Shepherd. 24/7 tracking of the Second Life economy stats can be found on the SL Grid Survey.

As of 31st March 2013:

• Total Main Grid regions: 27, 570
• Total Area (km²): 1806.83
• Private Estates: 20, 482
• Linden owned:  7, 088

Updated private estates graph

Yay!

The growth in OpenSim Grids Statistics since 2009

Since October 2009 OpenSim grids have been growing in terms of total regions, total registered users and total active users. Hypergrid Business publishes monthly blog posts on the updated opensim grid numbers which is interesting to look at every month. During 2013 or 2014 it’s predicted OpenSim total regions will overtake Second Life total main grid regions.

Over recent years there has been more interest for OpenSim grids it seems and still Second Life continues to decline in terms of regions and active online users. These statistics below show data from October 2009 to March 2013 based on the top 40 opensim grids. Worth looking at I think!

Total Regions via Top 40 OpenSim Grids

• 6, 103 – 15th October 2009
• 7, 246 – 15th December 2009
• 8, 561 – 15th February 2010
• 10, 558 – 15th April 2010
• 11, 717 – 15th June 2010
• 10, 427 – 15th August 2010
• 12, 425 – 15th October 2010
• 15, 094 – 15th December 2010
• 13, 369 – 15th February 2011
• 14, 566 – 15th April 2011
• 15, 290 – 15th June 2011
• 18, 498 – 15th August 2011
• 19, 525 – 15th October 2011
• 21, 666 – 15th December 2011
• 23, 231 – 15th February 2012
• 20, 159 – 15th April 2012
• 18, 518 – 15th June 2012
• 21, 775 – 15th August 2012
• 25, 202 – 15th October 2012
• 23, 718 – 15th December 2012
• 24, 678 – 15th March 2013

Total Registered Users via Top 40 OpenSim Grids

• 183, 896 – 15th April 2011
  
• 194, 466 – 15th June 2011
• 206, 096 – 15th August 2011
• 215, 740 – 15th October 2011
• 222, 316 – 15th December 2011
• 228, 892 – 15th February 2012
• 235, 468 – 15th April 2012
• 245, 433 – 15th June 2012
• 257, 734 – 15th August 2012
• 258, 301 – 15th October 2012
• 276, 930 – 15th December 2012
• 286, 798 – 15th March 2013

Total Active Users Via Top 40 OpenSim Grids

• 15, 504 – 15th February 2012
• 17, 404 – 15th April 2012
• 16,391 – 15th June 2012
• 17, 364 – 15th August 2012
• 18, 124 – 15th October 2012
• 20, 695 – 15th December 2012
• 19,496 – 15th March 2013

Do you prefer Second Life or OpenSim grids ? Can you predict future numbers ? 

Latest stats for adoption of Mesh Viewers in Second Life

On 17th February 2013 a new post called Metrics for Adoption of Mesh Viewers on SLUniverse Forums asking about the most recent stats for mesh capable viewer usage. According to the responses in the forum post it seems like the mesh adoption rate seems to be >97.1% at the moment. I think by the end of 2013 mesh adoption rate should be reaching 99%/100%. Surely the 3% of SL users using non-mesh viewers will switch over at some point right during 2013 or 2014?.

A new graph shows the adoption rate of Mesh from July 2011 through to late January 2013 which is very interesting indeed. Graph created by Kadah Coba.

• 1% in July 2011
• 50% during November 2011
• 95% during October 2012
• 97.1% as of 2013-02-10.

Mesh viewers list

• SL official viewer (all V3 viewers)
• Firestorm viewer
• Cool VL
• And many more!

Update on total net loss in private estates so far in 2012

Tyche Shepherd posts a weekly update about regions counts in Second Life during the past week on SLUniverse Forums and this week I wanted to share the current total net loss in private estates since 1st January 2012. Apparently the last time it was this low was back in July 2008 and April 2009.

• Total number of Main Grid regions is now 28, 254 ( 21168 private estates & 7086 Linden owned)
• The total net loss in private estates since January 1st this year is now 2689 , a decline of 11.3%

I think it’s very alarming there is a big decline of 11.3% in private estates in Second Life in 2012 so far and it does not look good at all for the future of the grid if rates continue as they are. I really do hope private estates will pick up again in 2013 however I do trust Tyche Shepherd on posting these figures of the SL economy.

I’ll publish another update at the end of December 2012/early 2013.

Second Life user concurrency 2012 winter update

Since my summer update on Second Life user concurrency has still remained flat during the whole of 2012 and there has been a big decline in total regions in Second Life during 2012. In my summer 2012 update I pointed out that on 19th July 2012 there were 29, 496 regions on the grid. In January 2012 the region count was 31, 078 and as of 4th of December 2012 it stands at 28, 290 regions. A slow large decline and very alarming indeed.

If rates continue then I think it will drop down to somewhere between 26, 000 to 27, 000 before 2013 year ends unless something changes soon. This is very alarming that SL regions, SL active users and SL sign ups have been lost in Second Life during 2012 more than in previous years. Seems like SL users are spending more time outside of SL and doing other things.

• What are your views on 2012 economy and SL stats this year ?
• What does LL need to do to kick-start the SL economy again ?
• If you were CEO of Linden Lab what would you do ?

I hope Rodvik and the rest of Linden Lab will do something about this SL economy decline in 2013/2014 otherwise its back to the early days of Second Life before 2020 I predict.

Current region counts!

• 28, 290 – Total Regions
• 1854.01 - Total Area (km²)
• 7, 090 – Linden Owned
• 21, 200 - Private Estates

It seems to me there has been less interest in SL for some reason with more region closures etc. The trend during 2012 I think was a big switch towards the most popular 40 OpenSim grids and there has been growth in terms of regions/users this year. OpenSim grids are much cheaper, better financially, expanding (sims/users) and there is new investment being made all the time.

SL daily concurrency levels decline further in 2012

• Since July 2012 the minimum daily concurrency seems to be balanced between 30, 000 to 35, 000 mark.
• Since July 2012 the median peak daily concurrency seems to be stable between 45, 000 to 48, 000 mark
• Since July 2012 the maximum daily concurrency seems to be remain around 60, 000 to 64, 000 peaking
• Since July 2012 the daily Second Life sign ups have dropped down to around 11, 000 – 14, 000 mark

Linden Lab does no longer release statistics for Second Life and I base my findings via the SL Grid Survey, Hypergrid Business reports and other SL metric sources.

In 2013 Linden Lab needs to seriously lower tier costs and bring more to the table so that SL users don’t go else where. If Linden Lab created a SL app for all mobile/tablet platforms that would be a great news. It’s possible and change is needed for 2013!

My next update will be in the spring > published in April 2013.  

Official SL Forums posts declining further in 2012

Today a new graph has been published showing the official Second Life Forum post counts to date, showing data between February 2011 to October 2012. The graph shows SL Forum and SL Answer posts declining more in 2012 under the average mark starting in May 2012 and dropping further during the summer months. It’s going to be interesting to see if the trend continues to go down during the final 3 months of 2012 or if the post count goes up to average levels in 2013.

Last year post counts stayed mostly above the average mark and then in 2012 for some reason the post counts dropped down hill.

2011 data

• March : 19983 posts
• April : 14514 posts
• May : 13633 posts
• June : 10292 posts
• July : 16691 posts
• August : 18213 posts
• September: 17890 posts
• October : 16225 posts
• November : 17186 posts
• December : 13971 posts

2012 data

• January : 13655 posts
• February : 14154 posts
• March : 16627 posts
• April : 15755 posts
• May : 12702 posts
• June : 9784 posts
• July : 9896 posts
• August : 11924 posts
• September: 9942 posts

Second Life user concurrency 2012 summer update

My last post about the Second Life user concurrency levels was back in early April 2012 and I reported that the daily SL concurrency mostly stayed the same. Since April 2012 the Second Life user concurrency hasn’t really peeked over the 65, 000 mark and I have to say its been slowly dropping since January 2012. Since April 2012 the minimum daily concurrency seems to be around the 30, 000 to 35, 000 mark.

The mean and median peak concurrency has dropped from 50, 000 down to 45, 000 since April 2012. At the moment daily Second Life signups seems to be around the 16, 000 mark per day. On 8th July 2012 total registered SL users reached the 30 million milestone however signups have slowed down over the past few years. On 27th July 2010 total registered SL users passed the 20 million milestone 2 years ago. Every 2 years it goes up by 10 million accounts and just recently Philip Rosedale said that there are 1 million active users that use Second Life.

There seems to be a decline in total main grid regions since April 2012 where it was above 30, 000+ and as of 19th July it stands at 29, 496 regions. I do think the decline is very alarming for Second Life and that SL users are spending less time in Second Life more this year than in previous years. I hope things will improve during the last half of 2012 but it’s going to take time for things to pick up again.

Maximum Daily Concurrency

Minimum Daily Concurrency

Median Daily Concurrency

Next update will be in November/December 2012.

Second Life user concurrency 2012 spring update

The last post I made about the Second Life user concurrency was back in late November 2011 where the SL concurrency levels were below the 70, 000 mark during 2011. During 2012 the daily SL concurrency has mostly stayed the same like it was back in 2011 with peaks around the 66, 000 mark with lows of around 32, 000 at any given time during the week. So I think we are not going to see any increase during the next few quarters unless something the lab does something to get more users and remain inworld for longer etc. The mean and median peak concurrency seems to be around the 50, 000 mark currently.

I would like to see the Second Life user concurrency stay between 70, 000 and 75, 000+. The levels were higher in previous years but the user concurrency trend was flat in 2011 and now in 2012 so far.

Check out these graphs from the SL Grid Survey to see the comparison.

(Below) Maximum Daily Concurrency

(Below) Minimum Daily Concurrency

(Below) Seasonal SL concurrency

This month the total count of main grid regions dropped below the 30, 000 mark for the first time since January 2010.  Second Life signups have dropped below 20, 000 per day since the 4th quarter of 2011. It’s interesting that signups dropped alot during the new year with the odd peak now/then. I think RL holidays do effect the Second Life user concurrency & signups among other things. Something needs to be done to keep users logged inworld for longer. Perhaps more press conferences, big events and more mention of Second Life in the coming months will increase signups. Perhaps many are logging else where like on OpenSim instead of the main grid which may effect these SL user concurrency numbers.

My hope is that things will increase/change in the coming months for Second Life.

Next update will be in July/August 2012.